Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006570 0.007334 0.008167 0.009144 0.010261 0.011504 0.012995
2025-05-25 0.005391 0.006439 0.007677 0.009256 0.011233 0.013647 0.016847
2025-06-01 0.004656 0.005811 0.007247 0.009185 0.011765 0.015127 0.019916
2025-06-08 0.004039 0.005212 0.006729 0.008869 0.011860 0.015968 0.022176
2025-06-15 0.003681 0.004889 0.006511 0.008888 0.012360 0.017364 0.025355
2025-06-22 0.003489 0.004762 0.006528 0.009213 0.013304 0.019484 0.029900
2025-06-29 0.003180 0.004436 0.006224 0.009027 0.013446 0.020388 0.032638
2025-07-06 0.002915 0.004146 0.005941 0.008833 0.013538 0.021200 0.035314
2025-07-13 0.002733 0.003961 0.005793 0.008824 0.013911 0.022501 0.039023
2025-07-20 0.002629 0.003882 0.005797 0.009052 0.014694 0.024583 0.044494
2025-07-27 0.002467 0.003701 0.005624 0.008968 0.014926 0.025706 0.048292
2025-08-03 0.002339 0.003563 0.005507 0.008963 0.015289 0.027106 0.052871
2025-08-10 0.002193 0.003390 0.005329 0.008854 0.015480 0.028264 0.057305
2025-08-17 0.002096 0.003293 0.005270 0.008951 0.016079 0.030328 0.064201
2025-08-24 0.001980 0.003154 0.005128 0.008883 0.016344 0.031740 0.069879
2025-08-31 0.001837 0.002960 0.004874 0.008580 0.016103 0.032039 0.072914
2025-09-07 0.001756 0.002867 0.004794 0.008598 0.016518 0.033830 0.080117
2025-09-14 0.001725 0.002859 0.004862 0.008911 0.017589 0.037264 0.092521
2025-09-21 0.001628 0.002726 0.004692 0.008732 0.017571 0.038142 0.098018
2025-09-28 0.001537 0.002599 0.004526 0.008545 0.017515 0.038921 0.103421
2025-10-05 0.001476 0.002523 0.004448 0.008536 0.017862 0.040756 0.112513
2025-10-12 0.001446 0.002503 0.004478 0.008756 0.018768 0.044174 0.127627
2025-10-19 0.001384 0.002418 0.004374 0.008675 0.018945 0.045689 0.136840